in Football

Turning Pro Was The Right Decision For Randle

Photo Attribution: US Presswire

Photo Attribution: US Presswire

Joe Randle announced his intention to enter the 2013 NFL Draft in the most 2013 way possible on Thursday — via direct message on Twitter to a local beat writer (in this case, Gina Mizell).

Then he tweeted this shortly thereafter…

I thought this might be coming but I kept trying to talk myself out of it.

He needs another year!

He’ll get more exposure if we win the Big 12 again!

Next year’s RB class is weaker!

But ultimately I think Randle made the right decision to turn pro.

There are about a billion mock draft boards out there, but for the sake of this argument, let’s use this one from my employer.

They have Randle ranked as the 5th best RB, going between rounds two and three, with only two seniors ahead of him. This means if everyone comes back next year and the status quo remains, Randle would be the 3rd best projected RB.

The highest projected pick for this year (if he comes out) is Eddie Lacy going in the second round. So even if he were to leapfrog Lacy as the best projected RB next year that doesn’t guarantee a first round selection for #1.

As you’ve read over and over, the shelf life of running backs is shrinking. Look no further than this to see why — defensive players are monsters, legitimate career-ending psychotic monsters. You have to take advantage of all the great, healthy years you can have while you’re young.

Plus, is Randle really going to boost his stock by coming back? As OKC Dave pointed out in the comments section this morning, we pretty much know what Randle is at this point: a strong, slick (potentially undersized) back who runs hard, is durable, and can catch balls out of the backfield as well as anyone who’s ever played at OSU.

Here are his yards per carry stats over his three years as a Cowboy.

Yards per carry
2010: 5.5
2011: 5.8
2012: 5.2

That’s not going to change next year. He’s hit his ceiling as a college player and the risk (see: Lattimore, Marcus) of coming back far outweighed the reward (another Big 12 title, not much change in draft stock1).

So farewell, Mr. Randle, your shimmy move in the open field will reside in the pantheon with Dez’s fade route, Desmond breaking toward the hoop on a fast break, Marcus Dove throwing up the wings after a dunk, Hart Lee’s “bye-bye” towel, Rashaun’s hip check, Weeden’s fist pump, and Gottlieb slapping the maple as one of my all-time favorite in-game subtleties.

And as Brendon Morris points out, Smith and Roland have some big shoes to fill.

  1. Since when do scouts care about how your team performs? Heck, they weigh the combine more heavily than they weigh team performance.
  • Chase

    I love Joe Randle and wish him the best, but Desmond Roland will be the next great RB at OSU…mark it down

    • Dave

      I think Smith maintains his current role and Roland slides up into Randle’s old spot – it will still be great. Hopefully the kid from Arkansas, who is one of a bunch of Bama commits at RB…, will swicth over to the Cowboys as well.

  • Jheri Curl

    I agree, I don’t think Randle should leave early but he should do what he thinks is right and wish him all the very best!!!

    IMO Jeremy Smith is a better pro prospect in that he’s more of a power runner, has less wear and tear on his body, and Randle doesn’t have the speed required to turn the corner in the NFL and pop some long gains. Smith has to stay healthy and get ready to carry the ball about 20 times a game instead of what he was getting. Roland looks decent, not sure if he’s a superstar in the making though.

    • Jheri Curl

      Should’ve said: “I don’t agree”.

  • Jake

    Our backup running backs won’t fill that void, but we’ll still have a really good rushing attack. I wish Herschel Sims wasn’t a dirty thief. Considering the chaos in the Big 12, I don’t think it’s a stretch to consider ourselves the favorite or at least a top contender for the Big 12 title next year.

    • Jheri Curl

      I think Sims was an overrated prospect. If he’s truly a five star we’ll see him in the NFL one day.

  • G-Block

    For purely selfish reasons, I hoped J. Randle would return for his senior year. I understand all the reasons for & against. But you’re in college for a short period of time (although it seems like forever) before life happens…

  • nando

    All of this is funny,all of these so call player analyst who think they know these players, LMAO

  • Bo

    “So farewell, Mr. Randle, your shimmy move in the open field will reside in the pantheon with Dez’s fade route, Desmond breaking toward the hoop on a fast break, Marcus Dove throwing up the wings after a dunk, Hart Lee’s “bye-bye” towel, Rashaun’s hip check, Weeden’s fist pump, and Gottlieb slapping the maple as one of my all-time favorite in-game subtleties.”

    This sentence is how I know that you see OSU the way I see OSU and the reason I read your blog. Excellent, sir.

    • http://pistolsfiringblog.com Kyle Porter

      Haha, thanks Bo.