Oklahoma State Has Covered Three of Last Five Bedlam Point Spreads

Oklahoma opened as a 13.5 point lead over the Oklahoma State Cowboys for 2016 Bedlam, a line that many Pokes fans felt was high. The line is down to -11 as of Monday, and may continue to fall as we get closer to the big game on Saturday.

We know that in its last nine Bedlam games, OSU is 2-7. I picked 2007 because that is the year Mike Gundy really started to get all his own players on the field (and we could only find spreads going back to that year).

You probably knew that OSU record already, because Boone Pickens made us all painfully aware of it. But what have the lines been compared to the final scores? Has OSU normally covered? Let’s take a look.

Oklahoma has actually covered the spread six times out of the last nine Bedlam meetings, but only twice out of five times since 2011. Sure, they’ve won several close games, in 2010, 2012, and 2013 (Gilbert caught it), but recent history shows us there’s a decent chance the Cowboys will beat the line this week.

Which they’ll need to substantially if they want to win the their second Big 12 title after playing for it for the fourth time in six years.

Tough to see OU as a 2-TD favorite when #okstate has the better receivers, defense, special teams and much better QB.

— Pistols Firing (@pistolsguy) November 27, 2016