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Against the Spread: OSU Favored by 25.5 over Baylor



Oklahoma State opened this week as a 32.5 point favorite at some gambling services over Baylor for its homecoming this weekend, but the line according to is a modest 25.5.

A home team in Oklahoma as a 25+ point favorite — what could go wrong, right?

Against The Spread In 2017

• OSU: 3-2 — After opening the season with three-straight wins against the spread, OSU has now lost its last two — including a game in which it was favored at home against TCU three weeks ago.

• Baylor: 2-3 — The Bears failed to cover the spread in their first three games, but the last two — close losses to OU and K-State — have shown that Baylor can, at the least, be competitive.

Advice: Take Baylor to cover. Mike Gundy said on Monday that Baylor is more like the team that has been competitive in its last two contests, than the one which lost to Liberty to open the season.

Straight Up In 2017

• OSU: 4-1 — Save for a dud in its conference-opener, OSU has performed up to its lofty preseason expectations and enters homecoming with a 4-1 record overall, and a 1-1 Big 12 record.

• Baylor: 0-5 — Baylor might stink. So far, the Bears are winless and have a brutal schedule ahead.

Advice: Tough spot for Baylor. While I think Matt Rhule’s squad covers the 25.5 point spread, I don’t think this one will be competitive. Give me the Pokes straight up.


• OSU: The Pokes have hit the over line thrice in five contests, but fell 10 points short last week in an expected shootout-turned defensive struggle in Lubbock.

• Baylor: This isn’t the Baylor offense of old. This team has hit the over just twice this season: Against Liberty (a combined 93 points!), and against OU.

Advice: Take the over. Don’t even look at the line (even though it’s not out yet). Just find a place that has a line, and bet over. There will be no shortage of points.

Bonus Picks

• Take Texas to cover vs. OU: You know what they say about rivalry games, right? Throw out the records! The Horns are 7.5 point underdogs and enter this weekend with all the momentum, while OU is still stinging from a stunning loss to ISU. Heck, give me the Horns straight up!

• Take Alabama to cover vs. Arkansas: We’ve entered the “take Alabama to cover no matter what” territory. Even as 32.5 point favorites, I think the Tide cruise in Tuscaloosa over a semi-hapless Hogs team.

• Take Syracuse to cover vs. Clemson: Another team that was bordering Alabama-level dominance in Vegas recently was Clemson, but Tigers starting QB Kelly Bryant is questionable this weekend with an ankle injury. And Syracuse is 22.5 point underdogs at home. I like the Orange to cover the points.

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