This week’s Boone Bag is loaded with tons of great questions. So in return, I hope to give you at least moderately good answers to satisfy your recruiting fix!
Let’s get to them.
Mark Ortwein: Odds the Hill brothers’ “race” flick doubles as a commitment video?
Jeremy Felts: Chances the “Hill Brothers Race” ends in an OSU commitment from Dax?
There was a lot of buzz about the Dax Hill-Justice Hill race video that was teased this week. And my DMs were flooded with some iteration of this exact question.
Bottom line though, is that I have no clue. If I were taking a guess, it would be that, yes, this Aug. 24 video will double as a Dax commitment. But no, I don’t think it ends in an OSU commitment.
Cameron Johnston: Best under the radar commitment so far?
Love this Q. I really like 2019 pledge Kody Walterscheid, the younger brother of current OSU DE Cole. He’s got a great frame at 6-6, 230, and already more built out than his brother was at the same age. Think he can be more productive than Cole if he continues on the same developmental path.
Austin Steele: Any wishful chance Boynton could land Bacot?
I reserve the right to be irrationally optimistic with all things Boynton, so yes, I think OSU has a shot. Boynton has been working this one for a long time. But luring a five-star to move cross-country to OSU over offers from Duke, UNC, etc., is a tough task. I think the odds are 35 percent he comes, 60 percent he goes UNC, and 5 percent he gets an offer from Kentucky in the final hour and sides with Calipari.
Blake Goddard: Chances on Avery Anderson? Saw the crystal ball sway in our favor but haven’t heard/seen anything since.
Very good shot at landing Anderson. Four-star combo guard from Texas who is trending OSU’s direction. He’s announcing his top schools tonight, and the Pokes will be in the mix. His commitment would give OSU two top-150 commitments for 2019 and a top-10 nationally-ranked class.
I say 85 percent chance OSU gets him.
Seth Dow: Who will be this year’s Braden Cassity?
Now THIS is a thinker. Great question. Cassity committed to OSU after another commit looked elsewhere and opened a spot for him just before signing day. Honestly, if another late-cycle decommitment happens, I think the same scenario could play out again with another defensive line prospect.
If any of the current pledges look elsewhere, I’d think Z’Core Brooks or Javasia Brunson would be next on the board to try and scoop up in the final hour. Right now OSU has one spot left on the DL, and that’s being reserved until Trace Ford makes his decision.
Sean Gensky: How do you see OSU football’s 2019 recruiting cycle finishing up. Who do you see committing to round out the class?
Ric Ellis: Last week I saw this floating around twitter. If this is accurate, it worries me. Ignore the big ugly tree. How can we be this selective in offers? We don’t get many of our “first choice” players, so one would think we’d establish a deep connection with backup plans early.
Last week I saw this age floating around twitter. If this is accurate, it worries me. Ignore the big ugly tree. How can we be this selective in offers? We don’t get many of our “first choice” players, so one would think we’d establish a deep connection with backup plans early. pic.twitter.com/nQscLLgU79
— Ric Ellis (@RicEllis85) August 6, 2018
I don’t know how ack*ur*it that is, but if it’s even close, it’s definitely interesting. A few years ago I tracked that info, and OSU was hovering right around the 100 mark. So that seems about right (and judging off the sheer volume of reported Alabama offers, it seems to be spot on.)
My interpretation of this would be that, yes, OSU misses a lot on its first batch of targets that include four- and five-stars. But when OSU makes offers, they mean more — and they’re more committable, whereas Alabama may offer 250 scholarships in a single cycle but the spot may only be open to the prospect for X amount of time.
This approach can be taken with blueblood schools generally speaking (like Alabama or Clemson), because if a four-star isn’t ready to commit, a five-star may be itching at the shot to take the scholarship spot. Whereas with OSU, it’s not the hottest ticket on the market. A top-20 program, to be sure, but OSU doesn’t have the luxury of quickly moving on from targets and thus must remain flexible with decision timelines. That leaves OSU hanging out to dry from time to time, but it’s more relationship based versus other bigger programs.