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Against the Spread: How to Bet OSU-TCU



Vegas has yet to adjust to the 2017 Oklahoma State team that continues to blow up any pre-game odds set for the team this season.

OSU moved to 3-0 on the season Saturday with a start-to-finish beatdown over Pitt, almost singlehandedly crushing the over line of 65.5 for the game as a team. If you even so much as considered OSU to be in danger of not covering the 10.5-point spread, you’ve got to be kicking yourself.

Let’s check in on OSU’s progress and how they’ve performed in Vegas, and look ahead to its Week 4 showdown against TCU.

Against the spread in 2017

• OSU: 3-0 — The Cowboys have beat the spread by an average of 17.3 points per game through three weeks of play, including a 27.5 point differential against Pitt.

OSU is an 11.5 point favorite over TCU according to Vegas Insider.

• TCU: 3-0 — The Horned Frogs are 3-0 against the spread, but their only double-digit win against the spread came in Week 2 when they traveled to thump a below average Arkansas team.

Advice: Take TCU to cover. I think OSU wins this one, but Gary Patterson’s defense will keep this one closer than fans in orange are going to be hoping for.

Straight up in 2017

• OSU: 3-0 — OSU hasn’t been tested yet, but thus far has rolled in its three non-conference games.

• TCU: 3-0 — The Horned Frogs didn’t look great against Arkansas or against SMU, but undefeated is undefeated. They haven’t won by less than 20 points this season.

Advice: Roll Pokes. Cowboys win over TCU.


• OSU: OSU has combined to hit the over line twice in three contests, and now that they’re into Big 12 play, I’d advise taking the over.

• TCU: TCU’s gone the opposite direction, falling short of the over twice and hitting the over once — against SMU this past weekend.

Advice: Take the over. We don’t know the line yet, but I think this one could turn into a shootout, especially if Kenny Hill plays half as well as he did against SMU.

Bonus picks

• Take Vanderbilt to cover against Bama. Seems crazy, right? Vandy? Yes, Vandy. Their defense is for real, limiting a very good Kansas State team to just 7 points over the weekend. Vandy is +18.5 against the Crimson Tide, and I’m not so sure they even allow that many points the entire game—even against Nick Saban.

• Take OU to cover against Baylor. The Bears have been a poor excuse for a football team thus far this season, and the 26-point underdog, I think, will get absolutely creamed by OU in Waco on Saturday.

• Cal will cover against USC. We saw Saturday that All-Hype Train USC isn’t quite the top-5 team many pegged when Texas nearly knocked them off in overtime. Against Cal as a 16.5-point favorite, I think the Bears will cover with ease.

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