Football
Drew Mestemaker Doesn’t Need Magical Season to Ink Name in Oklahoma State Record Books
Even if his numbers dipped moving up to the Big 12, Mestemaker still projects for a historic year.
STILLWATER — Expectations are high for quarterback Drew Mestemaker, but the second-year starter could turn in a rather “average” season and still stamp his place in the Oklahoma State record books.
It’s no secret that Mestemaker led the nation in passing yards, throwing for 4,379 last season.
Since 2022, 12 quarterbacks have returned and played at least 10 games the year after finishing inside the top 10 in passing yards.
| Returning QBs | Top 10 Year | Yds as Top 10 | Next year | Yds next year |
| Josh Hoover | TCU 2024 | 3,949 | TCU | 3,472 |
| Chandler Morris | UNT 2024 | 3,774 | UVA | 3,000 |
| Cade Klubnik | Clemson 2024 | 3,639 | Clemson | 2,943 |
| Carson Beck | UGA 2023 | 3,941 | UGA | 3,485 |
| Henigan | Memphis 2023 | 3,883 | Memphis | 3,502 |
| Joey Aguilar | App St 2023 | 3,757 | App St | 3,003 |
| Dillon Gabriel | OU 2023 | 3,660 | Oregon | 3,857 |
| Jordan McCloud | JMU 2023 | 3,657 | Texas State | 3,227 |
| Austin Reed | WKU 2022 | 4,744 | WKU | 3,340 |
| Michael Penix | Washington 2022 | 4,641 | Washington | 4,903 |
| Caleb Williams | USC 2022 | 4537 | USC | 3633 |
| Drake Maye | UNC 2022 | 4321 | UNC | 3608 |
Their passing yards the following season decreased between 10-30%, with two players actually throwing for roughly 5% more yards thanks to two additional games. On average, top 10 quarterback passing yardage changed by 15%.
For the most part, those decreased totals were due to playing fewer games in the follow-up seasons, either because the programs didn’t earn the same level of postseason opportunities or perhaps because quarterbacks chose to protect their futures, something Mestemaker could certainly face after playing in two postseason games last year.
If you account for the discrepancy in games played, then the average top 10 quarterback yardage changed by only 9%.
The only quarterback on the list to make the jump to the power conference level was former Eric Morris’ quarterback, Chandler Morris (no relation). His production dropped off quite a bit, but he also no longer had Eric Morris calling the offense. While the jump up in competition likely played a role in that drop off, and could be a problem for Mestemaker, it’s impossible to quantify the impact that comes with changing coaches, play callers and offensive weapons none of which should impact Mestemaker this fall.
Should the Oklahoma State quarterback’s totals dip by 15%, then Mestemaker would finish the 2026 season with 3,722 passing yards, which would still rank seventh all-time, less than 50 yards behind Mason Rudolph’s total in 2015.
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