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A Look at Offensive and Defensive Efficiency for OSU in the Gundy Era

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You guys are probably sick of listening to me proselytize about Oklahoma State’s offensive and defensive efficiency, but I only do it because I’m obsessed with numbers and possibly in too deep it’s the most important stat you can look at when it comes to college football teams.

Where this year’s team ends up is fascinating, too. With a loaded offense guided by a question mark at QB, which offensive numbers will Mike Yurcich match from years gone by? What about the defense? Is this team 2009-2011 good, or it will be more of the same from the last four years?

Let’s look at offense first.

Oklahoma State Offensive Efficiency (2007-17)

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There have been all-timers. Last year’s team sneaked past the 2011 team at the very end, even though I think if any of us had one drive with our lives on the line, we’d probably give the nod to 2011. I know I would.

I think the ceiling for this 2018 team is probably the 2016 team. If you average 3.0 points per drive, that’s pretty great. It would have ranked 12th, 11th and 9th nationally in the last three years. That’s incredible and probably only aspirational for Yurcich this year.

They’ll probably eventually settle around where the 2007 and 2015 teams settled. Which, depending on the defense and the turnover situation, could be good enough.

Oklahoma State Defensive Efficiency (2007-17)

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Again, that 2013 defense was probably the best in school history. The 2009 one was up there, too. The 2011 defense was really good, but it also got a lot (like a LOT) of turnover luck. The 44 turnovers they generated are the most of any team in at least the last nine seasons of college football (and 13 away from the all-time record).

I actually think pretty highly of this defense and could see them being 2012ish. I could see this entire season being 2012ish, which, by the way, how did OSU average 3.01 PPD on offense and 1.93 PPD on defense and go 7-5?! At 1.08, that’s a far better margin than TCU posted in 2017 (0.88), and they played for the Big 12 title.

Here’s a look at the top 15 teams in the country in net PPD from 2012.

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Incredible.

I would think Gundy, Yurcich and Knowles would take that number right now, run away and hide behind the video board if they could. Alas, they cannot, and we’ll have to wait 12 more games (or more!) to see how this season’s numbers match up.

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