Against the Spread: Oklahoma State Favored by 17.5 Over Kansas State

[USATSI]
Written by Kyle Boone

Oklahoma State opened as a 17.5- point favorite at home over Kansas State this weekend, officially the fourth-highest margin the Cowboys have been favored by this season to date. The other three — TU (19.5), South Alabama (-28) and Baylor (-28.5), went down as Cowboy covers.

Factor in the fact that OSU could know by kickoff whether it will control its own destiny in the Big 12, and I think all that plays into the favor of Oklahoma State.

Let’s take a look at how the two squads compare in the eyes of Vegas.

Against the spread in 2017

• OSU is 5-5 against the spread this season, including a 7-point win this weekend over Iowa State as 7.5-point favorites. Vegas!

• Kansas State is 3-7 against the spread this season, and has only won once as an underdog.

Advice: Take Oklahoma State to cover. I know Bill Snyder typically gets his guys up for games like this, but I think we see a more motivated OSU team, especially if Tech beats TCU on Saturday morning.

Straight up in 2017

• OSU is 8-2 this season with losses to TCU and OU.

• K-State is 5-5 and in a bit of a down year due to an injury to its starting QB. They’ve shown life of late, though, including a win over Texas Tech and a 42-35 loss to OU in the Little Apple in mid-October.

Advice: Take OSU straight up, for sure. Easy money. If the Pokes find out that TCU is on the ropes against Texas Tech (meaning OSU could potentially control its own Big 12 destiny), I think the Pokes will be highly motivated. Get rich if your K-State office friend wants to wager some cheddar.

Over/Under

• OSU: In seven games this season, Oklahoma State’s games have hit the over — including the last three contests.

• Kansas State: Hard to believe, but K-State has hit the over in 5 of its 10 games this season.

Advice: I have no idea where to go here. My guess is the line will be somewhere around 45-50. I say take the over so long as it isn’t higher than 55. This feels like it could be a 31-24 game. Bring your antacids.

Bonus picks

• Take OU – 35 vs. Kansas — We’ve entered the “take OU minus the points no matter what” portion of the season. Against a hapless KU team on Saturday, the Sooners could score 100 if they wanted. It’s one of their last chances to make a statement in the final weeks of the CFB Playoff rankings.

• Take LSU -15 vs. Tennessee — Butch Jones is out, and Brady Hoke (!!) is stepping in to fill the head coaching role in the interim. Need I say more?

• Underdog pick of the week: Texas Tech over TCU. That’s right, baby! Tech downs TCU in a thriller, putting OSU back in control of its own Big 12 fate. Long live Kliff Cool!

  • Les Miles

    Pokes probably win in 34-24 fashion. K State will sustain 8 minute drives while we end up punting on our very first offensive possession of the game (We’ve made that a tradition so far this year).

    Slow start by the Pokes with it tied at 17 all at the half. Pokes go ahead 27-24 midway through the 4th quarter and we score another TD around the 4 minute mark left in the game that puts the nail in the coffin.

    • Saucy Takes

      I can see that. Although your pessimism didn’t stick last week. Comic out of aimes with s big win

  • Bbjd

    We have blown out every bad team we have played this year outside of Texas Tech and it took some weird circumstances and Lubbock magic to keep that one close.

    Kstate isn’t bad but they aren’t good so my hope is we run it up these next two weeks it will be quite the drop off after playing 3 ranked teams (WVU, OU, ISU) and Texas who has the top athletes in the conference to the Sunflower state squads.

  • Winning Comment

    Those giphy’s you posted should come with the same warning we see at the start of Kanye West videos. Too much!

  • MNcowboy21

    If TTech can beat TCU this weekend, I may have to send a year’s worth of tortillas to Lubbock as a thank you gift!

  • Nate

    Boone says OSU covers the spread (17.5), but then says “this feels like it could be a 31 – 24 game.” Lol, OK…

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  • BBinKC

    If TCU wins do we come out flat?

  • jt

    Since I think coach Bro won’t pull off the upset against TCU, I’m taking OSU to win but not cover

  • adam

    Remember all those games where we comfortably beat K-State? Oh that’s right, we haven’t beaten them by more than 10 points since 1988. I’ll play the odds and take KSU and 17.5 points.