Football
Revisiting PFB’s Preseason Predictions for the 2017 Football Season
This summer, we at PFB laid out our predictions for what had the makings of an historic football season. A lot of history was made, but the Cowboys didn’t reach all of their preseason goals — or the loft expectations placed upon the. Let’s just say that on some points were closer than others, and there were a few bold predictions mixed in.
So for the sake of transparency — and to open ourselves up to ridicule — let’s take a look at the those summer predictions and how well they’ve aged after 13 games.
Let’s start with some of preseason award predictions.
Prediction | Offensive MVP | Defensive MVP |
---|---|---|
Kyle Porter | Mason Rudolph | Calvin Bundage |
Phillip Slavin | Mason Rudolph | Ramon Richards |
Kyle Boone | Justice Hill | Kenneth Edison-McGruder |
Nick Welch | Mason Rudolph | Jarrell Owens |
Hayden Barber | Aaron Cochran | Tre Flowers |
Steven Mandeville | Justice Hill | Zach Sinor |
Kyle Cox | Mason Rudolph | Justin Phillips |
Rudolph was the majority vote and that’s probably the right call. He set or broke more records than I knew existed and Mike Gundy called him the most decorated OSU player since Barry Sanders. I can’t argue with Justice Hill, either.
On defense, we were across the board and any of a handful could be picked. Of these picks, Tre Flowers is probably my choice now. Before you roast Steven, don’t forget that Zach Sinor helped OSU lead the nation in defensive starting field position last year. This year the Cowboys came in at 13th.
Freshman and Surprise of the Year
Prediction | Freshman of the Year | Surprise of the Year |
---|---|---|
Kyle Porter | Brock Martin | Marcell Ateman |
Phillip Slavin | J.D. King | A.J. Green |
Kyle Boone | J.D. King | Rodarius Williams |
Nick Welch | J.D. King | — |
Hayden Barber | J.D. King | — |
Steven Mandeville | Chuba Hubbard | A Dominant D-Line |
Kyle Cox | Dillon Stoner | Rodarius Williams |
J.D. King was a solid pick, especially after a 95-yard debut, but Gundy and Co. road Justice Hill hard. I’ll claim the W on my Dillon Stoner pick, even if it was a technicality. Porter’s and Steven’s picks will get another shot at the honor in 2018.
For surprise of the year, A.J. Green and Rodarius Williams performed well for being thrown into the fire with zero starts between them. Marcell Ateman is probably the winner though. Here’s Porter’s explanation for his pick which was spot on.
Marcell Ateman, not James Washington, will be Rudolph’s “I have to have this first down or touchdown or this game is in jeopardy” go-to receiver this year.
Now let’s run through some of our numbers predictions for OSU’s Big 3.
Mason Rudolph’s Numbers: 4,904 Passing Yards and 37 TDs
Prediction | Yards | TDs |
---|---|---|
Kyle Porter | 4,340 | 32 |
Phillip Slavin | 4,200 | 30 |
Kyle Boone | 4,324 | 25 |
Nick Welch | 4,500 | 29 |
Hayden Barber | 4,250 | 27 |
Steven Mandeville | 4,000 | 30 |
Kyle Cox | 4,250 | 35 |
Looks like we all undersold the numbers that Rudolph and this offense would put up. He didn’t make every throw, and there are definitely a couple he would want back. But those numbers speak for themselves. This guy is going to be missed at OSU.
32 wins
13,618 passing yards
92 passing TDs
3 10-win seasons
50+ school records
All of the memories pic.twitter.com/WQAVUv1jqA— Pistols Firing (@pistolsguys) December 29, 2017
James Washington’s Numbers: 1,549 Receiving Yards and 13 TDs
Prediction | Yards | TDs |
---|---|---|
Kyle Porter | 1,410 | 9 |
Phillip Slavin | 1,300 | 11 |
Kyle Boone | 1,456 | 14 |
Nick Welch | 1,350 | 10 |
Hayden Barber | 1,280 | 10 |
Steven Mandeville | 1,250 | 8 |
Kyle Cox | 1,492 | 12 |
[Clears throat] It looks like only one of us had Washington passing Rashaun to land at the No. 1 spot in Oklahoma State history. Another all-timer at Oklahoma State who will be sorely missed next year and beyond. The Cowboys have plenty of talent returning at wideout but they’ll never have another Prez.
Justice Hill’s Numbers: 1,467 Rushing Yards and 15 TDs
Prediction | Yards | TDs |
---|---|---|
Kyle Porter | 1,430 | 11 |
Phillip Slavin | 1,300 | 8 |
Kyle Boone | 1,520 | 14 |
Nick Welch | 1,190 | 11 |
Hayden Barber | 1,410 | 7 |
Steven Mandeville | 1,400 | 10 |
Kyle Cox | 1,350 | 13 |
Kyle Boone is the only one of us who didn’t undersell Justice. The All-American snub led the Big 12 in rushing yards and TDs and returns in 2018 as Oklahoma State’s best player and one of the top RBs in the nation.
Boone is ahead of the curve for next year, as well.
2018. Justice Hill. Hei5man.
— Kyle Boone (@PFBoone) December 29, 2017
Return Yardage Leader (Punts + Kickoffs): Tyron Johnson (264 KO return yards)
Prediction | Return Yardage Leader |
---|---|
Kyle Porter | Tyron Johnson |
Phillip Slavin | Tyron Johnson |
Kyle Boone | Tyron Johnson |
Nick Welch | Tyron Johnson |
Hayden Barber | Tyron Johnson |
Steven Mandeville | Jalen McCleskey |
Kyle Cox | Tyron Johnson |
Most of us saw Tyron as the leading returner but things didn’t exactly play out as we envisioned. The guy who Mike Yurcich said could get around Kyle Porter in a phone booth couldn’t get around the water cooler off of the sidelines. Hopefully, with Washington, Ateman and Lacy moving on Tyron will be unleashed on the world in 2018.
Tackles Leader: Tre Flowers (79 total, 54 solo)
Prediction | Tackles Leader |
---|---|
Kyle Porter | Tre Flowers |
Phillip Slavin | Chad Whitener |
Kyle Boone | Darrion Daniels |
Nick Welch | Chad Whitener |
Hayden Barber | Kenneth Edison-McGruder |
Steven Mandeville | Tre Flowers |
Kyle Cox | Justin Phillips |
Flowers pulled out the No. 1 spot over last year’s leader, Chad Whitener with 76 total tackles and 50 solo grabs. Justin Phillips came in third with 64 total tackles (42 solo).
Sacks Leader: DeQuinton Osborne (6.0)
Prediction | Sacks Leader |
---|---|
Kyle Porter | Cole Walterscheid |
Phillip Slavin | Tralund Webber |
Kyle Boone | Jarrell Owens |
Nick Welch | Jarrell Owens |
Hayden Barber | Tralund Webber |
Steven Mandeville | Cole Walterscheid |
Kyle Cox | Jordan Brailford |
The DQ Blizzard wreaked havoc from the defensive tackle spot. Jordan Brailford came in second with 5.5 sacks and Calvin Bundage was third with 3.0, two of which were on Bake Mayfield.
Interceptions Leader: A.J. Green (4)
Prediction | Interceptions Leader |
---|---|
Kyle Porter | Ramon Richards |
Phillip Slavin | Ramon Richards AND Tre Flowers |
Kyle Boone | Tre Flowers |
Nick Welch | Tre Flowers |
Hayden Barber | Ramon Richards |
Steven Mandeville | Ramon Richards |
Kyle Cox | Rodarius Williams |
A.J. Green had four INTs and Chad Whitener, Justin Phillips, Ramon Richards and Tre Flowers each had two apiece.
Rudolph’s Finish In Heisman Race: 7th
Prediction | Rudolph Heisman Vote Ranking |
---|---|
Kyle Porter | 3rd |
Phillip Slavin | 5th |
Kyle Boone | 1st |
Nick Welch | Outside of Top 5 |
Hayden Barber | Bronze Medal |
Steven Mandeville | Outside of Top 5 |
Kyle Cox | 2nd |
Rudolph had plenty of Heisman buzz early, especially after a record-setting performance against Pitt. But after the Cowboys started Big 12 play with a loss and stumbled along the way, his numbers alone weren’t enough for an invite to New York. Here’s a look at the complete voting.
Final Heisman Voting
Place | Name | School | Pos | Class | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Total Pts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Baker Mayfield | Oklahoma | QB | SR | 732 | 87 | 28 | 2,350 |
2 | Bryce Love | Stanford | RB | JR | 75 | 421 | 233 | 1,300 |
3 | Lamar Jackson | Louisville | QB | JR | 47 | 197 | 258 | 793 |
4 | Saquon Barkley | Penn State | RB | JR | 15 | 73 | 113 | 304 |
5 | Rashaad Penny | San Diego St. | RB | SR | 7 | 37 | 80 | 175 |
6 | Jonathan Taylor | Wisconsin | RB | FR | 2 | 7 | 38 | 58 |
7 | Mason Rudolph | Oklahoma St. | QB | SR | 2 | 14 | 22 | 56 |
8 | McKenzie Milton | UCF | QB | SO | 4 | 11 | 20 | 54 |
9 | Kerryon Johnson | Auburn | RB | JR | 0 | 14 | 17 | 45 |
10. | Roquan Smith | Georgia | LB | JR | 3 | 11 | 7 | 38 |
Now let’s run through our overall predictions for the team, which were lofty.
Oklahoma State’s Best AP Ranking: No. 6
Prediction | Highest AP Ranking |
---|---|
Kyle Porter | 2 |
Phillip Slavin | 4 |
Kyle Boone | 3 |
Nick Welch | 4 |
Hayden Barber | 5 |
Steven Mandeville | 3 |
Kyle Cox | 4 |
Oklahoma State’s Big 12 Record (and Place): 6-3 (3rd)
Prediction | Big 12 Record | Big 12 Ranking |
---|---|---|
Kyle Porter | 9-1 | 1st |
Phillip Slavin | 9-1 | 1st |
Kyle Boone | 9-1 | 1st |
Nick Welch | — | — |
Hayden Barber | 9-1 | 1st |
Steven Mandeville | 8-1 | T1 |
Kyle Cox | 7-2 | 2nd |
Final Record and Bowl Prediction: 10-3, Win over Virginia Tech in Camping World Bowl
Prediction | Final Record | Bowl Destination/Opponent |
---|---|---|
Kyle Porter | 12-2 | Loss to Ohio State in CFP Semis |
Phillip Slavin | 12-2 | Loss to Alabama in CFP Semis |
Kyle Boone | 12-2 | Loss to Florida State in CFP Semis |
Nick Welch | 11-2 | Loss in CFP Semis |
Hayden Barber | 11-3 | — |
Steven Mandeville | 12-2 | Loss to LSU in Cotton Bowl |
Kyle Cox | 12-2 | Loss in a NY6 Bowl |
Let’s just say our hopes were high for this team. With all the talent returning and the turnover at several other teams, especially Oklahoma, this looked like the year for OSU to run through the Big 12.
A year in which the big boys came to Stillwater, the Cowboys finished 3-3 at home. This season was a disappointment, any way you slice it. But the Cowboys were able to finish on a good note and have an exciting crop of young talent returning (and incoming). Here’s to another list of Kool-Aid fueled predictions next summer.
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