What Vegas Odds Say about Oklahoma State’s 2026 Football Schedule

STILLWATER — The sun finally seems to be shining down on Boone Pickens Stadium for the first time in almost two years.

It feels like genuine optimism surrounds the football program headed into the summer months. Of course that should be the minimum expectation when change is made at the top, especially considering Oklahoma State’s struggles in football during the last two seasons.

FanDuel Sports has something of a mixed message for OSU fans given the odds listed online.

The Sportsbook has the Cowboys win total wager set to 5.5 wins this fall with the OVER listed as a decent favorite (-178, as in it would cost $178 to make $100 profit). That is partly influenced by the Pokes’ first home opponent of the season, Oregon, which is favored to win in Stillwater by 17.5 points.

Of course, considering FanDuel has Oregon fifth overall in national championships odds (+800, as in a $100 bet would pay out $800), it’s hard to view that line as being super disrespectful.

The sportsbook has the Cowboys ninth to win the Big 12 (+2,500), behind favorites Texas Tech, of course (+110). That placement and the odds say a lot about what the sportsbook thinks of OSU as a dark horse candidate likely to attract bettors.

Tenth-place Kansas sits at +3,000 and five teams have odds of +4,000 or longer, culminating in the conference’s longest of longshots Cincinnati and Colorado which boast odds of +10,000.

Avoiding the Big 12’s basement for the third-consecutive season would be a nice change of pace for the Pokes. To that end, the sportsbook has the Cowboys facing the conference’s 11th toughest strength of schedule based on win totals.

Oklahoma State’s nine conference opponents win totals add up to 59.5. For context, the easiest possible schedule in the league would add up to 50.5 while the toughest would equal 70.5.

Here’s a look at Oklahoma State’s week-by-week Big 12 schedule in 2026 with win totals included for context:
Sept. 26 at West Virginia (5.5)
BYE
Oct. 10 vs UCF (5.5)
Oct. 17 at Houston (7.5)
Oct. 24 vs Colorado (4.5)
Oct. 31 at Iowa State (5.5)
Nov. 7 at Kansas State (8.5)
Nov. 14 vs Texas Tech (10.5)
Nov. 21 at Arizona State (6.5)
Nov. 28 vs Kansas (5.5)

If the Cowboys are going to make some noise in the conference and push for a bowl game, they probably need to win at least three of their first five Big 12 games, though the schedule seems well set up to start the conference slate 4-1 with an overall record of 6-2 should Oklahoma State get a favorable bounce and start hot under the new coaches.

Road trips to Kansas State and recent Big 12 champion Arizona State sandwich a home date against the conference’s heavy favorite in Texas Tech. It’s a low bar to clear, but that game should be much more competitive than last year’s blowout in Lubbock.

Regardless of how things go in that difficult stretch, Oklahoma State has a great chance to wrap up the regular season on a high note with a home game against the Jalon Daniels-less Jayhawks, who happen to be one of the conference’s softer 5.5-win teams according to FanDuel.

Coach Eric Morris proved just last year that he’s more than capable of shocking the nation by exceeding modest expectations. So it’s possible Oklahoma State could far shatter this win total and record a few all-time signature wins in 2026, not to mention beat Kansas.

Still, given everything the program has been through in the last two seasons, the mood around town would be much better if Oklahoma State could secure bowl eligibility before setting out on that final four-game stretch.

Big 12 win totals (strength of Big 12 schedule):
10.5 wins: Texas Tech (15th, they can’t play themselves so that makes some sense)
8.5 wins: Utah (15th); BYU (T13th); Kansas State (16th, easiest draw)
7.5 wins: Houston (T9th); Arizona (3rd)
6.5 wins: TCU (1st, tied for hardest draw); Arizona State (T5th); Baylor (T9th)
5.5 wins: Oklahoma State (11th); UCF (T13th); West Virginia (T5th); Kansas (T7th); Iowa State (T7th); Cincinnati (1st, tied for hardest draw)
4.5 wins: Colorado (4th)