Daily Bullets (October 28)

Title Odds

S&P projects out the odds of who will be in the Big 12 title game – and you probably won’t hate it.

Per S&P+ win probabilities, TCU has a 64 percent chance of finishing 11-1 or better, Oklahoma State has a 24 percent chance, and Oklahoma, with games against both TCU and OSU remaining, has just a 9 percent chance. [SB Nation]

The article goes on to give the following odds for making the title game: TCU an 88 percent chance, OSU a 53 percent chance and OU a 33 percent chance because they have to play the other two still.

Need-to-Win

It’s an exhausting coachspeak phrase but the next game is always the biggest.

After barely escaping Austin with a win last week, Oklahoma State needs this one in Morgantown to keep its College Football Playoff hopes alive. The Cowboys have a three-game stretch with Oklahoma and Iowa State around the corner that will make or break their chance to play for the national title.

On top of that, every game matters with the Big 12 standings so crowded and undefeated TCU leading the way. West Virginia, despite its loss to TCU, is still in the mix with the return of the Big 12 title game. [Yahoo Sports]

When you’ve got big goals, one would suppose everything is a must-win. But that doesn’t diminish the importance of this football brunch in the mountains.

Odds On

The Pokes are seven and a half point favorites today – and ESPN’s gurus say to go orange.

I can see WVU being a fairly trendy home ‘dog, and while I love a good home ‘dog, I just don’t like this matchup for them. Oklahoma State survives the trap before next week’s Bedlam series.

ATS pick: Oklahoma State
Score: Oklahoma State 41, West Virginia 31 [ESPN In$ider]

It’s nice to see the narrative not get too wrapped up in a down week at Texas – but don’t expect that benefit of the doubt if anemic offense becomes a trend. Was it really necessary to make that comment about one of the nation’s most prolific offenses?

OSU and NCAA Notes

Five college football games to watch today (and the Big 12 games)….Texas Governor wants UT-A&M to play each other in football again….Tram looks at West Virginia’s offensive coordinator and his Oklahoma ties…. Is $11m a steal for Nick Saban?….Today is the last chance to make a good first impression on the playoff committee

Worth watching.

? ? ??? #okstate pic.twitter.com/cwWBLT6j1U

— Carson Cunningham (@KOCOCarson) October 27, 2017

Love Iowa State in the league but I’ll believe they’re the greener pasture for football coaching when I see it.

Matt Campbell came to Iowa State to build something special. That’s why he’s not looking to leave. On the Cyclones’ culture in progress: https://t.co/mplYTly2FI pic.twitter.com/AVAGJciriA

— Max Olson (@max_olson) October 27, 2017

Lots of fans would give this guy Rudolph’s cost of attendance to play for the Pokes.

Incredible 46yd FG by South Alabama, ball hits just about everything: #FunBelt #JagNation pic.twitter.com/CtEnmYnG08

— RedditCFB (@RedditCFB) October 27, 2017

A cold day in the Little Sahara when Gundy/Yurcich do stuff like this in the regular season.

Oregon State ran a throwback to Fred Lauina, a 6-foot-4, 315-pound offensive lineman pic.twitter.com/NRb2Ryjja4

— Dr. Saturday (@YahooDrSaturday) October 27, 2017

Glad I’m not playing – I’d be looking ahead today.

Current Bedlam odds (1 week out) according to @espn ?. We want @CollegeGameDay @OKStateProbs @GentsOkstate pic.twitter.com/iVI4ITqTJ4

— Justin Bennett (@therealjbennett) October 27, 2017

What You Missed on PFB

• The PFB squad makes predictions for today’s game
• Why isn’t OSU using receivers in the red zone more?
• West Virginia mascot is out for the game today
• Everything you need to know to follow the game today
• A stud Cowboy point guard target set his commitment date

Other Stuff I’m Reading

• Zach Lowe’s 10 Things are back – OKC is No. 3
• Godin is spot on talking about why the long way is worth it